{"id":181,"date":"2017-09-09T01:27:23","date_gmt":"2017-09-09T01:27:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/mosaics.dickinson.edu\/nepal2017\/?p=181"},"modified":"2017-09-13T13:13:42","modified_gmt":"2017-09-13T13:13:42","slug":"trumps-statement-on-paris-agreement-is-mostly-false","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mosaics.dickinson.edu\/nepal2017\/2017\/09\/09\/trumps-statement-on-paris-agreement-is-mostly-false\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump&#8217;s Statement on Paris Agreement is &#8220;Mostly False&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>President Donald Trump stated, in a letter received by Professor Neil Leary, that \u201clittle would change for our climate under the Paris Agreement\u201d.\u00a0 Under the rankings used to gauge the accuracy of statements by Politifact this on can be considered \u201cmostly false\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Two major \u201cTruth-O-Meter\u201d principals that are used in their rulings are the statements wording and context. \u00a0When examining the wording of Trumps statement, it becomes hard to qualify his statement as completely false. \u00a0He states that \u201clittle would change\u201d when regarding the climate.\u00a0 In some regards he is right, the changes in global temperatures that the Paris Agreement hopes to achieve occur within the range of a handful of degrees Celsius. However, in the complex system of the climate a small, or little, change can mean a lot.\u00a0 The Paris Agreement may not drastically change the climate but it could reduce the amount that it warms by a few degrees Celsius which is enough to make a difference.<\/p>\n<p>One of the main goals of the Paris Agreement is to keep global warming \u201cno more than 1.5 \u2103 above preindustrial levels\u201d by 2021 (Blau p. 23).\u00a0 Studies predict that, under the current climate policies, the \u201cglobal average temperature could increase by 4.8 \u25e6C\u201d (Bhore p. 1). \u00a0For President Trump, the difference of three degrees in may be considered a small change.\u00a0 However, the impact that each could have are very different.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_182\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-182\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-182\" src=\"http:\/\/mosaics.dickinson.edu\/nepal2017\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/28\/2017\/09\/graph-300x270.jpg\" alt=\"Chart Created by Bhore \" width=\"300\" height=\"270\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mosaics.dickinson.edu\/nepal2017\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/28\/2017\/09\/graph-300x270.jpg 300w, https:\/\/mosaics.dickinson.edu\/nepal2017\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/28\/2017\/09\/graph-768x692.jpg 768w, https:\/\/mosaics.dickinson.edu\/nepal2017\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/28\/2017\/09\/graph.jpg 913w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-182\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Chart Created by Bhore<\/p><\/div>\n<p>When examining the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC\u2019s) set by each state in the United Natioans, the inaccuracy in President Trump\u2019s statement can be seen. \u00a0The Paris Agreement lead countries to promise to reduce their harmful ways, \u201cBrunei pledged in 2015 to reduce total energy consumption by 63% by 2035, and to increase the share of power generated by renewables to 10% by 2035; Ecuador committed to an unconditional 20.4% to 25% reduction in energy sector emissions by 2025; Japan to a 26% reduction in emissions on 2013 levels by 2030; and the United States to a 26% to 28% domestic reduction in greenhouse gases by 2025\u201d (Blau p. 25). \u00a0Although the United States has backed out of its NDC, other states commitments show how the Paris Agreement will positively impact the environment. \u00a0Reductions in energy consumption, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and investments in solar energy will all effect the global climate by reducing the amount of GHG in the atmosphere.\u00a0 This relationship is explained by Dr. Subhash Janardhan Bhore, \u201ctaking everything into account, greenhouse gas emissions and the rise in global temperature does directly affect the atmosphere\u201d, he wrote (Bhore p.1).<\/p>\n<p>The Paris Agreement is strong as it sets up a system that holds all parties accountable for achieving their NDC\u2019s, as every state will benefit from others compliance as well as their own. This international treaty \u201csets a course for all countries to limit global temperature increase by taking bold steps towards the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions to strengthen resilience with respect to the inevitable impacts of climate change\u201d (Bhore p.4).<\/p>\n<p>The context of Donald Trump\u2019s statement in his letter is also important.\u00a0 Directly after claiming that there will be little impact on the climate he states the Paris Agreement will cause \u201csignificant increases\u201d in prices of electricity as it would create a shift away from the harmful fossil fuels industry.\u00a0 This context makes his statements even more inaccurate as he understates the impact that the Paris Agreement will have on the climate while insisting that it will create a large negative impact on the energy prices in the United States. \u00a0If the demand and technology\u00a0 for renewable clean energies increase then their prices will naturally decrease.<\/p>\n<p>Politifact\u2019s website, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.politifact.com\/truth-o-meter\/\">http:\/\/www.politifact.com\/truth-o-meter\/<\/a>, \u00a0describes a statement as mostly false \u201cif the statement contains an element of truth but ignores critical facts that would give a different impression\u201d.\u00a0 This definition perfectly describes President Trumps statement in this letter.\u00a0 The accuracy of Trump\u2019s statement relies on the definition of the word little.\u00a0 If in this statement, he is regarding the fact that only small amounts of temperature changes will happen due to the Paris Agreement then he is in fact right. However, these \u201clittle\u201d changes can have huge consequences, the difference between doing nothing in regards to mitigating climate change and achieving the goals of the largest international environmental treaty can be reflected in a difference of just over three degrees Celsius.\u00a0 Even if President Donald Trump was referring to the magnitude of temperature change as little he would be wrong as small changes, either increasing or decreasing, to temperatures has extreme impacts.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bibliography<\/p>\n<p>Blau, Judith. The Paris Agreement : Climate Change, Solidarity, and Human Rights, Springer International Publishing, 2017. ProQuest Ebook Central.<\/p>\n<p>Bhore, Subhash Janardhan. &#8220;Paris Agreement on Climate Change: A Booster to Enable Sustainable Global Development and Beyond.&#8221;\u00a0<em>International Journal Of Environmental Research And Public Health<\/em>\u00a013, no. 11 (November 14, 2016):\u00a0<em>MEDLINE with Full Text<\/em>, EBSCO<em>host<\/em>\u00a0(accessed September 8, 2017).<\/p>\n<p>Savasan, Zerrin. &#8220;A Brief Assessment on the Paris Climate Agreement and Compliance Issue.&#8221;\u00a0<em>International Relations \/ Uluslararasi Iliskiler<\/em>\u00a014, no. 54 (April 2017): 107-125.\u00a0<em>Political Science Complete<\/em>, EBSCO<em>host<\/em>\u00a0(accessed September 8, 2017).<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>President Donald Trump stated, in a letter received by Professor Neil Leary, that \u201clittle would change for our climate under the Paris Agreement\u201d.\u00a0 Under the rankings used to gauge the accuracy of statements by Politifact this on can be considered &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/mosaics.dickinson.edu\/nepal2017\/2017\/09\/09\/trumps-statement-on-paris-agreement-is-mostly-false\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2854,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[100731,144457],"tags":[134465,144452,144434],"class_list":["post-181","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-risk-and-resilience","category-trump-paris-agreement","tag-donald-trump","tag-fact-check","tag-paris-agreement"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mosaics.dickinson.edu\/nepal2017\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/181","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mosaics.dickinson.edu\/nepal2017\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mosaics.dickinson.edu\/nepal2017\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mosaics.dickinson.edu\/nepal2017\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2854"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mosaics.dickinson.edu\/nepal2017\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=181"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/mosaics.dickinson.edu\/nepal2017\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/181\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":265,"href":"https:\/\/mosaics.dickinson.edu\/nepal2017\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/181\/revisions\/265"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mosaics.dickinson.edu\/nepal2017\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=181"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mosaics.dickinson.edu\/nepal2017\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=181"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mosaics.dickinson.edu\/nepal2017\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=181"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}